Molecular and Clinical Epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Individuals in a Large Healthcare Organization from New Jersey (preprint)

New Jersey was among the first states impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with one of the highest overall death rates in the nation. Nevertheless, relatively few reports have been published focusing specifically on New Jersey. Here we report on molecular, clinical, and epidemiologic observations from the largest healthcare network in the state, in a cohort of vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. We conducted molecular surveillance of SARS-CoV-2-positive nasopharyngeal swabs collected in nine hospitals from December 2020 through June 2022, using both whole genome sequencing (WGS) and a real-time RT-PCR screening assay targeting spike protein mutations found in variants of concern (VOC) within our region. De-identified clinical data were obtained retrospectively, including demographics, COVID-19 vaccination status, ICU admission, ventilator support, mortality, and medical history. Statistical analyses were performed to identify associations between SARS-CoV-2 variants, vaccination status, clinical outcomes, and medical risk factors. A total of 5,007 SARS-CoV-2-positive nasopharyngeal swabs were successfully screened and/or sequenced. Variant screening identified three predominant VOC, including Alpha (n =714), Delta (n =1,877), and Omicron (n =1,802). Omicron isolates were further sub-typed as BA.1 (n =899), BA.2 (n =853), and BA.4/BA.5 (n =50); the remaining 614 isolates were classified as “Other”. Approximately 31.5% (1,577/5,007) of the samples were associated with vaccine breakthrough infections, which increased in frequency following the emergence of Delta and Omicron. Severe clinical outcomes included ICU admission (336/5007 = 6.7%), ventilator support (236/5007 = 4.7%), and mortality (430/5007 = 8.6%), with increasing age being the most significant contributor to each (p <0.001). Unvaccinated individuals accounted for 79.7% (268/336) of ICU admissions, 78.3% (185/236) of ventilator cases, and 74.4% (320/430) of deaths. Highly significant (p <0.001) increases in mortality were observed in individuals with cardiovascular disease, hypertension, cancer, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia, but not with obesity, thyroid disease, or respiratory disease. Significant differences (p <0.001) in clinical outcomes were also noted between SARS-CoV-2 variants, including Delta, Omicron BA.1, and Omicron BA.2. Vaccination was associated with significantly improved clinical outcomes in our study, despite an increase in breakthrough infections associated with waning immunity, greater antigenic variability, or both. Underlying comorbidities contributed significantly to mortality in both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, with increasing risk based on the total number of comorbidities. Real-time RT-PCR-based screening facilitated timely identification of predominant variants using a minimal number of spike protein mutations, with faster turnaround time and reduced cost compared to WGS. Continued evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants will likely require ongoing surveillance for new VOCs, with real-time assessment of clinical impact.

Emergence of multiple SARS-CoV-2 antibody escape variants in an immunocompromised host undergoing convalescent plasma treatment (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concerns (VOC), e.g., B.1.351 (20H/501Y.V2) and P1 (20J/501Y.V3), harboring N-terminal domain (NTD) or the receptor-binding domain (RBD) (e.g., E484K) mutations, exhibit reduced in vitro susceptibility to convalescent serum, commercial antibody cocktails, and vaccine neutralization, and have been associated with reinfection. The accumulation of these mutations could be the consequence of intra-host viral evolution due to prolonged infection in immunocompromised hosts. In this study, we document the microevolution of SARS-CoV-2 recovered from sequential tracheal aspirates from an immunosuppressed patient on tacrolimus, steroids and convalescent plasma therapy, and identify the emergence of multiple NTD and RBD mutations associated with reduced antibody neutralization as early as three weeks after infection. SARS-CoV-2 genomes from the first swab (Day 0) and three tracheal aspirates (Day 7, 21 and 27) were compared at the sequence level. We identified five different S protein mutations at the NTD or RBD regions from the second tracheal aspirate sample (21 Day). The S:Q493R substitution and S:243-244LA deletion had ~70% frequency, while ORF1a:A138T, S:141-144LGVY deletion, S:E484K and S:Q493K substitutions demonstrated ~30%, ~30%, ~20% and ~10% mutation frequency, respectively. However, the third tracheal aspirate sample collected one week later (Day 27) was predominated by the haplotype of ORF1a:A138T, S:141-144LGVY deletion and S:E484K (> 95% mutation frequency). Notably, S protein deletions (141-144LGVY and 243-244LA deletions in NTD region) and substitutions (Q493K/R and E484K in the RBD region) previously showed reduced susceptibly to monoclonal antibody or convalescent plasma. The observation supports the hypothesis that VOCs can independently arise and that immunocompromised patients on convalescent plasma therapy are potential breeding grounds for immune-escape mutants.

A Novel Diagnostic Test to Screen SARS-CoV-2 Variants Containing E484K and N501Y Mutations (preprint)

Spike protein mutations E484K and N501Y carried by SARS-CoV-2 variants have been associated with concerning changes of the virus, including resistance to neutralizing antibodies and increased transmissibility. While the concerning variants are fast spreading in various geographical areas, identification and monitoring of these variants is lagging far behind, due in large part to the slow speed and insufficient capacity of viral sequencing. In response to the unmet need for a fast and efficient screening tool, we developed a single-tube duplex molecular assay for rapid and simultaneous identification of E484K and N501Y mutations from nasopharyngeal swab (NS) samples within 2.5 h from sample preparation to report. Using this tool, we screened a total of 435 clinical NS samples collected from COVID patients at 8 hospitals within the Hackensack Meridian Health network in New Jersey. While B.1.351 and P.1 variants were absent from the current study, our data revealed a dramatic increase in the frequency of E484K over time, underscoring the need for continuous epidemiological monitoring.